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Saturday, November 28, 2009

Time to Stick the Knife In

Markets are good at telling you the current price of things. They are not good at forecasting the future. Non market participants often misinterpret this.

Financial Armageddon: Time to Stick the Knife In

"Independent Does Not Mean Unaccountable"

Thoma channels Bernanke who is defending the Fed against those who would strip it of powers.
He admits the Fed "did not do all that it could have to constrain excessive risk-taking in the financial sector in the period leading up to the crisis."

Economist's View: "Independent Does Not Mean Unaccountable"

Dean Baker is not impressed.

Nor is Naked Capitalism

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Matthew Yglesias » Broder on Afghanistan: Better a Quick Choice Than the Right One

The problem with the right wing is that many thing this way

"Given that reality, the urgent necessity is to make a decision -- whether or not it is right."

Usually they would not be honest enough to admit that fact.

Matthew Yglesias » Broder on Afghanistan: Better a Quick Choice Than the Right One

The All-Inclusive All-You-Can-Eat Buffet Guide « Eating The Road

An American classic: The all you can eat buffet. I prefer the Chinese.

The All-Inclusive All-You-Can-Eat Buffet Guide « Eating The Road

Ayn Rand: The Boring Bitch is Back | The Big Picture

Good news: not every hedge fund manager is Randian.

Ayn Rand: The Boring Bitch is Back | The Big Picture

Japan as No. 1

Thirty years later. Vogel had a point. Just the title was wrong.

A more competitive America, he says, needs a much stronger government, an elite civil service composed of “the ablest young people of their generation” and a White House staffed by these new mandarins. Moral pressure needs to be felt again by Americans to bind their fragmented society together. “In the guise of pursuing freedoms, we have supported egoism and self-interest and have damaged group or common interests...we are more concerned with the rights of the deviant than the rights of the responsible citizen.
"
From the archive: One side of the success story | The Economist

Saturday, November 14, 2009

The Right and Terrorists.

"This is literally true: the Right's reaction to yesterday's announcement -- we're too afraid to allow trials and due process in our country -- is the textbook definition of "surrendering to terrorists." It's the same fear they've been spewing for years. As always, the Right's tough-guy leaders wallow in a combination of pitiful fear and cynical manipulation of the fear of their followers. Indeed, it's hard to find any group of people on the globe who exude this sort of weakness and fear more than the American Right."

Glenn Greenwald - Salon.com

More Lessons from the Crisis - Federal Reserve Bank of New York

More Lessons from the Crisis - Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Saturday, November 07, 2009

U6

NY Times: Unemployment Measure U-6 Highest Since Great Depression

From David Leonhardt at the NY Times: Broader Measure of Unemployment Stands at 17.5% Excerpts:
Officially, the Labor Department’s broad measure of unemployment goes back only to 1994. But early this year, with the help of economists at the department, The New York Times created a version that estimates it going back to 1970.
...
If statistics went back so far, the measure would almost certainly be at its highest level since the Great Depression.

In all, more than one out of every six workers — 17.5 percent — were unemployed or underemployed in October. The previous high was 17.1 percent, in December 1982.
There is much more in the article, but this suggest that the BLS' "Alternative measure of labor underutilization U-6"1 is now at the highest level since the Great Depression.

1 "Total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of all civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers"

Thursday, November 05, 2009

On second thought?

Three cheer for college football towns - Nov. 5, 2009


11         Penn State University   State College, Pa. $  309,850         97

On Invoking God to Defend Mammon

Mark you this, Bassanio,
The devil can cite Scripture for his purpose.
An evil soul producing holy witness
Is like a villain with a smiling cheek,
A goodly apple rotten at the heart:
O, what a goodly outside falsehood hath!

On Invoking God to Defend Mammon « naked capitalism

Sympathy for the Treasury

Interesting take. What is the difference between interpersonal relationships and corruption?


Interfluidity :: Sympathy for the Treasury

This also contains hints about how to handle small group meetings with people of disparate backgrounds and how not to answer questions. How does Treasury teach these skills?

Dark Pools and Regulations

More transparency is needed.

AllAboutAlpha.com» Hedge Fund Regulation Today's Post » What lurks for hedge funds beneath the deep, dark waters of dark pools?

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

The Hubris of Economics |

Economics forgot George E. P. Box’s most basic rule:

“Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful”



The Hubris of Economics | The Big Picture