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Sunday, December 29, 2013

xkcd: The Pace of Modern Life

xkcd: The Pace of Modern Life

Apocalypse, New Jersey: Matt Taibbi's Dispatch From Camden, America's Most Desperate Town | Culture | Rolling Stone

Apocalypse, New Jersey: Matt Taibbi's Dispatch From Camden, America's Most Desperate Town | Culture | Rolling Stone

Ex-Googler Explains Google Maps Destination Times - Business Insider

Ex-Googler Explains Google Maps Destination Times - Business Insider

What would Shackleton have thought of this ?

TYWKIWDBI ("Tai-Wiki-Widbee"): What would Shackleton have thought of this ?

Saving the Lost Art of Conversation - Megan Garber - The Atlantic

Saving the Lost Art of Conversation - Megan Garber - The Atlantic

Salman Khan - Harvard Business Review

Salman Khan - Harvard Business Review

The Merchant of Just Be Happy - NYTimes.com

Where studying East Asian Studies can get you.


The Merchant of Just Be Happy - NYTimes.com

A Deadly Mix in Benghazi - The New York Times

A Deadly Mix in Benghazi - The New York Times

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Mentally Strong People: The 13 Things They Avoid - BBN News

Mentally Strong People: The 13 Things They Avoid - BBN News

Can Vermont's Single-Payer System Fix What Ails American Healthcare? - Sean McElwee - The Atlantic

Can Vermont's Single-Payer System Fix What Ails American Healthcare? - Sean McElwee - The Atlantic

'We Are Creating Walmarts of Higher Education' - Timothy Pratt - The Atlantic

'We Are Creating Walmarts of Higher Education' - Timothy Pratt - The Atlantic

Crowdsourcing the Yasukuni Question: From Tokyo to Philadelphia - James Fallows - The Atlantic

Crowdsourcing the Yasukuni Question: From Tokyo to Philadelphia - James Fallows - The Atlantic

The robots are coming and will terminate your jobs - FT.com

The robots are coming and will terminate your jobs - FT.com

The Big Screwup - NYTimes.com

The Big Screwup - NYTimes.com

Robert W. Wilson, Frugal Philanthropist, Dies at 87 - NYTimes.com

Robert W. Wilson, Frugal Philanthropist, Dies at 87 - NYTimes.com

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Rolls-Royce looks to plot a course to the future with drone ships - FT.com

Rolls-Royce looks to plot a course to the future with drone ships - FT.com

Good Grief and Great Tits by Dan Savage - Seattle Features - The Stranger, Seattle's Only Newspaper

Good Grief and Great Tits by Dan Savage - Seattle Features - The Stranger, Seattle's Only Newspaper:

 All this for me—and I wasn't even that good. Translate that into Latin and it could be on the Palin family's coat of arms.

Gender-neutral bathrooms: All bathrooms should be open to all users.

Gender-neutral bathrooms: All bathrooms should be open to all users.

2013: The Year in Pictures - The New York Times

2013: The Year in Pictures - The New York Times

Crossing Swords with CrossFit | Strength and Power Training | OutsideOnline.com

Crossing Swords with CrossFit | Strength and Power Training | OutsideOnline.com

The economics of Christmas, a holiday satire

The economics of Christmas, a holiday satire

Japanese Premier Visits Contentious War Shrine - NYTimes.com

Japan risks alienating allies to placate domestic right wing.

Japanese Premier Visits Contentious War Shrine - NYTimes.com

Common Knee Surgery Does Very Little for Some, Study Suggests - NYTimes.com

Common Knee Surgery Does Very Little for Some, Study Suggests - NYTimes.com

Monday, December 23, 2013

Sunday, December 22, 2013

Japanese Team Dominates Competition to Create Rescue Robots - NYTimes.com

Japanese Team Dominates Competition to Create Rescue Robots - NYTimes.com

Persistence is a Killer | The Reformed Broker

Persistence is a Killer | The Reformed Broker

Chinese Train Doesn't Stop At Stations - Business Insider

Chinese Train Doesn't Stop At Stations - Business Insider

In No One We Trust - NYTimes.com

In No One We Trust - NYTimes.com

Spike in Harm to Liver Is Tied to Dietary Aids - NYTimes.com

Spike in Harm to Liver Is Tied to Dietary Aids - NYTimes.com

Why markets do not always work: fraud.

But a federal law enacted in 1994, the Dietary Supplement Health and Education Act, prevents the Food and Drug Administration from approving or evaluating most supplements before they are sold. Usually the agency must wait until consumers are harmed before officials can remove products from stores. Because the supplement industry operates on the honor system, studies show, the market has been flooded with products that are adulterated, mislabeled or packaged in dosages that have not been studied for safety.

Friday, December 20, 2013

The Bill Russell Investment Strategy - A Wealth of Common Sense

The Bill Russell Investment Strategy - A Wealth of Common Sense

Alan Greenspan's 'The Map and the Territory' Reviewed by Robert Solow | New Republic

Alan Greenspan's 'The Map and the Territory' Reviewed by Robert Solow | New Republic

Top Economic Stories of 2013 | Brookings Institution

Top Economic Stories of 2013 | Brookings Institution

Don't Sleep on Your Trades With ConvergEx - Bloomberg

Don't Sleep on Your Trades With ConvergEx - Bloomberg

10 Lessons To Learn From Poker | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

10 Lessons To Learn From Poker | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

Hedge Fund Secrets Lie in Short Term Over Luck: Cutting Research - Bloomberg

For the top investors, it is not about luck.


Hedge Fund Secrets Lie in Short Term Over Luck: Cutting Research - Bloomberg

Duck Dynasty's Phil Robertson Gives Drew Magary a Tour

Duck Dynasty's Phil Robertson Gives Drew Magary a Tour

As we speed along, a speck of mud gets on my shirt—OMG MUD EWW SO GROSS!—and I flick it away. Meanwhile, Phil sits next to me, and his whole life is caked in mud. He’s been out here plunging his hands into the earth and ripping the heads off ducks while I’ve been in suburbia with my thumb up my ass. I feel both inadequate and ungrateful. There’s only one way to absolve myself, I figure, and that is to shoot the fuck out of this crossbow.

What is Duck Dynasty?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/12/20/9-questions-you-were-too-embarrassed-to-ask-about-duck-dynasty/

There Are Two Americas, And One Is Better Than The Other - Business Insider

There Are Two Americas, And One Is Better Than The Other - Business Insider

This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: Noise Trading, Bubbles, and Excess Volatility in the Aggregate Stock Market: Noah Smith and Robert Shiller and Andrei Shleifer and Jeremy Greenwood vs. John Cochrane and Gene Fama and Company: Progressive vs. Degenerative Research Programs in Finance: The

This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: Noise Trading, Bubbles, and Excess Volatility in the Aggregate Stock Market: Noah Smith and Robert Shiller and Andrei Shleifer and Jeremy Greenwood vs. John Cochrane and Gene Fama and Company: Progressive vs. Degenerative Research Programs in Finance: The

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Friday, December 13, 2013

Fixing the Shiller CAPE: Accounting, Dividends, and the Permanently High Plateau | Philosophical Economics

Long explanation of the issues with Shiller CAPE. If you do not know what Shiller CAPE is, do not bother reading.

Fixing the Shiller CAPE: Accounting, Dividends, and the Permanently High Plateau | Philosophical Economics

How America Gets to Work—in 1 Very Long Graph - Derek Thompson - The Atlantic

How America Gets to Work—in 1 Very Long Graph - Derek Thompson - The Atlantic

If Susan Can Learn Physics, So Can You | Fledgling Physicist

If Susan Can Learn Physics, So Can You | Fledgling Physicist

Presidential Task Force Recommends Overhaul of Surveillance Tactics of NSA - WSJ.com

Presidential Task Force Recommends Overhaul of Surveillance Tactics of NSA - WSJ.com

Will the Pope Overthrow Neoliberal Economics? | The Fiscal Times

Will the Pope Overthrow Neoliberal Economics? | The Fiscal Times

The Chilling Geometry of Every US Military Base Seen From Space

The Chilling Geometry of Every US Military Base Seen From Space

Guns, Suicides and Natural Experiments

Guns, Suicides and Natural Experiments

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Blackstone Captured More Than All of Hilton's Increased Value - Bloomberg

Blackstone Captured More Than All of Hilton's Increased Value - Bloomberg

Lament of the Plutocrats - Ben White and Maggie Haberman - POLITICO Magazine

Great title and photo.

Lament of the Plutocrats - Ben White and Maggie Haberman - POLITICO Magazine

Pay No Attention to Supposedly Low MOOC Completion Rates - Ed Central | Ed Central

Pay No Attention to Supposedly Low MOOC Completion Rates - Ed Central | Ed Central

UPDATE 1-Pope attacks mega-salaries and wealth gap in peace message | Reuters

UPDATE 1-Pope attacks mega-salaries and wealth gap in peace message | Reuters

Muting the Mozart effect | Harvard Gazette

Muting the Mozart effect | Harvard Gazette

Woolies and Soweto Gospel Choir: Madiba Tribute - YouTube

Woolies and Soweto Gospel Choir: Madiba Tribute - YouTube

Political Fight on Farm Aid and Food Stamps Hits Home in the Delta - NYTimes.com

Political Fight on Farm Aid and Food Stamps Hits Home in the Delta - NYTimes.com

This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: There Is Neither Coast Nor Interior, Nor Border, Nor Breed, Nor Birth: Live from the Roasterie LIII: December 12, 2013

This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: There Is Neither Coast Nor Interior, Nor Border, Nor Breed, Nor Birth: Live from the Roasterie LIII: December 12, 2013

The Death of Expertise | The War Room

The Death of Expertise | The War Room

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Google’s Road Map to Global Domination - NYTimes.com

The guy with the most data wins.

Google’s Road Map to Global Domination - NYTimes.com

5 Reasons Why 2013 Was The Best Year In Human History | ThinkProgress

5 Reasons Why 2013 Was The Best Year In Human History | ThinkProgress

2013: The Year in Photos, May - August - In Focus - The Atlantic

2013: The Year in Photos, May - August - In Focus - The Atlantic

▶ Nobody's Invincible - YouTube

Great ad.

▶ Nobody's Invincible - YouTube

Ryan Lizza: Why Won’t Obama Rein in the N.S.A.? : The New Yorker

Long but important piece on our national security state.


Ryan Lizza: Why Won’t Obama Rein in the N.S.A.? : The New Yorker

Guns and Votes: The Victory of an Intense Minority Against an Apathetic Majority | naked capitalism

Guns and Votes: The Victory of an Intense Minority Against an Apathetic Majority | naked capitalism

In which MIT decided to teach micro first so as to make economics more relevant | The Institute for New Economic Thinking

In which MIT decided to teach micro first so as to make economics more relevant | The Institute for New Economic Thinking

Income Inequality’s Ripple Effect - John Podesta - POLITICO Magazine

Income Inequality’s Ripple Effect - John Podesta - POLITICO Magazine

Art Collectors Show Their Chinese Prizes - NYTimes.com

Art Collectors Show Their Chinese Prizes - NYTimes.com

State Gun Laws Enacted in the Year Since Newtown - Interactive Graphic - NYTimes.com

Incredible response to mass killings.
State Gun Laws Enacted in the Year Since Newtown - Interactive Graphic - NYTimes.com

After Setbacks, Online Courses Are Rethought - NYTimes.com

Four percent completion rate. Mine is zero.

After Setbacks, Online Courses Are Rethought - NYTimes.com

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Map Overlays Comparing Size - Business Insider

Map Overlays Comparing Size - Business Insider

The Most Important Economic Stories of 2013—in 40 Graphs - Matthew O'Brien - The Atlantic

The Most Important Economic Stories of 2013—in 40 Graphs - Matthew O'Brien - The Atlantic

Is it better to play it safe or to place bets that risk bankruptcy? - FT.com

Is it better to play it safe or to place bets that risk bankruptcy? - FT.com

Read President Obama’s powerful eulogy for Nelson Mandela

Read President Obama’s powerful eulogy for Nelson Mandela

Americans Suddenly Discovering How Insurance Works

Americans Suddenly Discovering How Insurance Works

Washington Center for Equitable Growth | Hoisted from Other People’s Archives from Last January: Jared Bernstein and Kathy Ruffing on Disability Insurance Roll Growth: Makers, Takers, and Fakers Weblogging

More than 90% of DI dollars go to elderly, disabled or working. Growth has been due to aging, and growth of workforce.

Washington Center for Equitable Growth | Hoisted from Other People’s Archives from Last January: Jared Bernstein and Kathy Ruffing on Disability Insurance Roll Growth: Makers, Takers, and Fakers Weblogging

NSA chief Keith Alexander blames diplomats for surveillance requests | World news | theguardian.com

General Alexander spoke yesterday at the Fourth Kenneth Moskow Memorial Lecture on Homeland Security at the Council on Foreign Relations in NYC.

NSA chief Keith Alexander blames diplomats for surveillance requests | World news | theguardian.com

Charles Lane Is Confused About the Republican Agenda | Beat the Press

Charles Lane Is Confused About the Republican Agenda | Beat the Press

The west is losing faith in its own future - FT.com

I am much more optimistic.

The west is losing faith in its own future - FT.com

Monday, December 09, 2013

The hierarchy of innovation | ROUGH TYPE

The hierarchy of innovation | ROUGH TYPE

Washington Center for Equitable Growth | Does America’s Future Contain Elite Public Universities?

Washington Center for Equitable Growth | Does America’s Future Contain Elite Public Universities?:

The fever of the MOOC has broken. As we got to have suspected all along, the students who will benefit enormously from MOOCs and Kahn Academy and so forth are the students with a cognitive skills, energy, and persistence to have been able to learn from the open University on TV, or programmed instruction, or simply picking up a book. For those who do not have the requisite skill, energy and persistence, the coming of the MOOC and of education over the Internet will do little: If they are to learn effectively, they need to be embedded in the social matrix of a university–classes and deadlines and attendance and tests and papers and peers around them all doing the same. And those who do not need this sociological matrix are a small minority, even at Berkeley.

Spies’ Dragnet Reaches a Playing Field of Elves and Trolls - NYTimes.com

Spies’ Dragnet Reaches a Playing Field of Elves and Trolls - NYTimes.com

Noahpinion: America is separating into peasants and scholar-gentry

Noahpinion: America is separating into peasants and scholar-gentry

Sunday, December 08, 2013

The South Has Indeed Risen Again and It’s Called the Tea Party

The South Has Indeed Risen Again and It’s Called the Tea Party

Special Report: How Fed policy enriches private equity, if not workers | Reuters

Special Report: How Fed policy enriches private equity, if not workers | Reuters

Noahpinion: The Great Labor Dump

Noahpinion: The Great Labor Dump

Policy: Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims : Nature News & Comment

Good, or better for economic claims.

Policy: Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims : Nature News & Comment

What Would You Have Done? Nelson Mandela and American Conservatives | Gingrich Productions

What Would You Have Done? Nelson Mandela and American Conservatives | Gingrich Productions

Worst passwords - Boing Boing

What not to use as a password.

Worst passwords - Boing Boing

Gridley Slideshow On Tech Bubble - Business Insider

Gridley Slideshow On Tech Bubble - Business Insider

Beating the Market, as a Reachable Goal - NYTimes.com

Russell 3000 Index beats this guy on 3, 5 and 10 year record. Why Can't We have a better PressCorps?
Beating the Market, as a Reachable Goal - NYTimes.com

Photos of the Year 2013 - The Wall Street Journal

Photos of the Year 2013 - The Wall Street Journal

Friday, December 06, 2013

Mandela went in a man, he came out a Giant


Map: Property Taxes in Your County | Brookings Institution

We're number one!

Map: Property Taxes in Your County | Brookings Institution

Quote For The Day � The Dish

Quote For The Day � The Dish:

“While the earnings of a minority are growing exponentially, so too is the gap separating the majority from the prosperity enjoyed by those happy few. This imbalance is the result of ideologies which defend the absolute autonomy of the marketplace and financial speculation. Consequently, they reject the right of states, charged with vigilance for the common good, to exercise any form of control.

A new tyranny is thus born, invisible and often virtual, which unilaterally and relentlessly imposes its own laws and rules. Debt and the accumulation of interest also make it difficult for countries to realize the potential of their own economies and keep citizens from enjoying their real purchasing power. To all this we can add widespread corruption and self-serving tax evasion, which have taken on worldwide dimensions. The thirst for power and possessions knows no limits. In this system, which tends to devour everything which stands in the way of increased profits, whatever is fragile, like the environment, is defenseless before the interests of a deified market, which become the only rule,” – Pope Francis.

U6 is dropping

Total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers plus total employed part time for economic reasons (U6RATE) - FRED - St. Louis Fed

Corporation not person in carpool lanes - SFGate

Corporation not person in carpool lanes - SFGate

Wonkbook: Washington has given up on growth

Wonkbook: Washington has given up on growth:


 “When a man has done what he considers his duty to his people and his country, he can rest in peace. I believe I have made that effort and that is, therefore, why I will sleep for eternity." -- Nelson Mandela.

Tom Toles Editorial Cartoon, December 01, 2013 on GoComics.com

Tom Toles Editorial Cartoon, December 01, 2013 on GoComics.com

How Do You Measure ‘Inequality’? - Real Time Economics - WSJ

How Do You Measure ‘Inequality’? - Real Time Economics - WSJ

Value of Connections of the United�States - Why Nations Fail - Why Nations Fail by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson

Value of Connections of the United�States - Why Nations Fail - Why Nations Fail by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson

Thursday, December 05, 2013

Joseph E. Stiglitz’s address to panel on Defending Human Rights

Joseph E. Stiglitz’s address to panel on Defending Human Rights

Nelson Mandela, South Africa’s Liberator as Prisoner and President, Dies at 95 - NYTimes.com

Nelson Mandela, South Africa’s Liberator as Prisoner and President, Dies at 95 - NYTimes.com

‘Double Irish’ limits Facebook’s tax bill to €1.9m in Ireland - FT.com

‘Double Irish’ limits Facebook’s tax bill to €1.9m in Ireland - FT.com

President Obama Misrepresents Role of Government: It Has Promoted Inequality | Beat the Press

President Obama Misrepresents Role of Government: It Has Promoted Inequality | Beat the Press

Professors in Deal to Design Online Lessons for A.P. Classes - NYTimes.com

Professors in Deal to Design Online Lessons for A.P. Classes - NYTimes.com

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

The best speech Obama has given on the economy

The best speech Obama has given on the economy

This Is What It Looks Like When a Google Manager Gets Feedback - David A. Garvin - Harvard Business Review

This Is What It Looks Like When a Google Manager Gets Feedback - David A. Garvin - Harvard Business Review

Watch

VIDEO: Watch Advertisements Time - Business Insider

More on “conventional wisdom” about Medicaid | The Incidental Economist

More on “conventional wisdom” about Medicaid | The Incidental Economist

Chart: Health care spending growth factors | The Incidental Economist

It's the prices.

Chart: Health care spending growth factors | The Incidental Economist

12 Years a Slave and the Obama Era -- Daily Intelligencer

12 Years a Slave and the Obama Era -- Daily Intelligencer

Steve Sailer: iSteve: Graph of 2012 PISA scores for 65 countries/economies

With US broken down by race and some geography

Steve Sailer: iSteve: Graph of 2012 PISA scores for 65 countries/economies

James Surowiecki: Is Health Care Spending Finally Falling? : The New Yorker

James Surowiecki: Is Health Care Spending Finally Falling? : The New Yorker

In Fracking, Sand Is the New Gold - WSJ.com

Buy sand, short gold.

In Fracking, Sand Is the New Gold - WSJ.com

Foreign Stocks For The Long Run

Foreign Stocks For The Long Run

$2,229.11 for Three Stitches? Behold the Wonder of the Free Market.

$2,229.11 for Three Stitches? Behold the Wonder of the Free Market.

Planet Money Makes A T-Shirt

Watch the entire film. It is worth it to show what goes behind global manufacturing.

Planet Money Makes A T-Shirt

Economic Principals � Blog Archive � Five Years Later

Economic Principals � Blog Archive � Five Years Later

Checking in on the “Yale Model” | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

Checking in on the “Yale Model” | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

Monday, December 02, 2013

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Harvard Campaign for Arts and Sciences Launch Address | Stories | Harvard Alumni

The Michael Smith speech at the 13 minute mark has a short film about flipping the classroom.

Harvard Campaign for Arts and Sciences Launch Address | Stories | Harvard Alumni

Fitness Trackers Still Need to Work Out Kinks | MIT Technology Review

Fitness Trackers Still Need to Work Out Kinks | MIT Technology Review

The Psychology of First-Person-Shooter Games : The New Yorker

The Psychology of First-Person-Shooter Games : The New Yorker

Two-Word Investment Outlooks | The Reformed Broker

Two-Word Investment Outlooks | The Reformed Broker

If this is “secular stagnation”, I want my old job back — Crooked Timber

If this is “secular stagnation”, I want my old job back — Crooked Timber

The 18th Brumaire Of Janet Yellen - Business Insider

The 18th Brumaire Of Janet Yellen - Business Insider

The Hater's Guide To The Williams-Sonoma Catalog

The Hater's Guide To The Williams-Sonoma Catalog

EvangeliiOnePercentium | FT Alphaville

EvangeliiOnePercentium | FT Alphaville

Pope Francis has a few thoughts about the global economy. We added these 13 charts.

Pope Francis has a few thoughts about the global economy. We added these 13 charts.

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Researchers: If You Want a Favor, Ask and Ask Again | Stanford Graduate School of Business

Good Advice.

Researchers: If You Want a Favor, Ask and Ask Again | Stanford Graduate School of Business

Economist's View: Summers Says History Will Favor Fed's QE `98 to 2'

Economist's View: Summers Says History Will Favor Fed's QE `98 to 2'

It’s official: The Senate just got rid of part of the filibuster

It’s official: The Senate just got rid of part of the filibuster

Chart: Life Expectancy at birth and health care spending per capita | The Incidental Economist

John Kerry will not be denied | David Rohde

John Kerry will not be denied | David Rohde

China, and the soaring price of Bitcoin

China, and the soaring price of Bitcoin

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Do "energy boosters" work? - Harvard Health Publications

Do "energy boosters" work? - Harvard Health Publications

Game Play Has No Negative Impact on Kids, UK Study Finds | Games and Learning

Good thing.

Game Play Has No Negative Impact on Kids, UK Study Finds | Games and Learning

Recession-Plagued Nation Demands New Bubble To Invest In | The Onion - America's Finest News Source

The onion predicts Snapchat.

Recession-Plagued Nation Demands New Bubble To Invest In | The Onion - America's Finest News Source: "Perhaps the new bubble could have something to do with watching movies on cell phones,

The Words That Remade America - Garry Wills - The Atlantic

The Words That Remade America - Garry Wills - The Atlantic

This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: Liveblogging World War II: November 17, 1943

True for most things:

"We need more aircraft, better engines--and fewer Headquarters."

This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: Liveblogging World War II: November 17, 1943:


Exclusive Interview: Steve Ballmer on His Retirement as Microsoft CEO - WSJ.com

Exclusive Interview: Steve Ballmer on His Retirement as Microsoft CEO - WSJ.com

The implications of secular stagnation | Gavyn Davies

Review of Summers speech.

The implications of secular stagnation | Gavyn Davies

Why children don't eat their greens: Survival instinct means youngsters are genetically programmed to avoid plants in case they are poisonous | Mail Online

That explains it...

Why children don't eat their greens: Survival instinct means youngsters are genetically programmed to avoid plants in case they are poisonous | Mail Online

Udacity's Sebastian Thrun, Godfather Of Free Online Education, Changes Course | Fast Company | Business Innovation

Udacity's Sebastian Thrun, Godfather Of Free Online Education, Changes Course | Fast Company | Business Innovation: ion."

Friday, November 15, 2013

Larry Summers just confirmed that he is still a heavyweight on economic policy - Quartz

The entire speech is worth listening to:

Larry Summers just confirmed that he is still a heavyweight on economic policy - Quartz:

 Quote about Japan is stunning. Shows that predictions are hard, especially about the future.

"The extent of Japan’s stagnation is breathtaking: In 2013, the Japanese economy is only half the size economists in the 1990’s predicted it would be by now."

Lunch with the FT: Henry Blodget - FT.com

Lunch with the FT: Henry Blodget - FT.com

The Yellen Doctrine: Robust Growth Is the Priority, but Bubbles Matter : The New Yorker

The Yellen Doctrine: Robust Growth Is the Priority, but Bubbles Matter : The New Yorker

Learning How to Die in the Anthropocene - NYTimes.com

Learning How to Die in the Anthropocene - NYTimes.com

Alan Greenspan’s ‘Map and the Territory’ - NYTimes.com

Alan Greenspan’s ‘Map and the Territory’ - NYTimes.com

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Japan's Last Chance | Foreign Affairs

Japan's Last Chance | Foreign Affairs

Good deficit reduction: Here's how to do it.

Good deficit reduction: Here's how to do it.

Rethinking the Rise of Inequality - NYTimes.com

Rethinking the Rise of Inequality - NYTimes.com

Why Japanese Web Design Is So Bad

Not bad but not appealing to this author.

Why Japanese Web Design Is So Bad

Kass: 10 Laws of Stock Market Bubbles - TheStreet

Kass: 10 Laws of Stock Market Bubbles - TheStreet:

Debt is cheap.
Debt is plentiful.
There is the egregious use of debt.
A new marginal (and sizeable) buyer of an asset class appears.
After a sustained advance in an asset class's price, the prior four factors lead to new-era thinking that cycles have been eradicated/eliminated and that a long boom in value lies ahead.
The distance of valuations from earnings is directly proportional to the degree of bubbliness.
The newer the valuation methodology in vogue the greater the degree of bubbliness.
Bad valuation methodologies drive out good valuation methodologies.
When everyone thinks central bankers, money managers, corporate managers, politicians or any other group are the smartest guys in the room, you are in a bubble.
Rapid growth of a new financial product that is not understood. (e.g., derivatives, what Warren Buffett termed "financial weapons of mass destruction").

Saturday, November 09, 2013

Embrace Infant Warmer: Creative Confidence by Tom and David Kelley

Embrace Infant Warmer: Creative Confidence by Tom and David Kelley

Obama the Loner: The Trouble with the President’s Self-Reliant, Closed-Off Attitude | Vanity Fair

Obama the Loner: The Trouble with the President’s Self-Reliant, Closed-Off Attitude | Vanity Fair

What a Difference a Ph.D. Makes: More than Three Little Letters by Ranadeb Chaudhuri, Zoran Ivkovich, Joshua Matthew Pollet, Charles Trzcinka :: SSRN

What a Difference a Ph.D. Makes: More than Three Little Letters by Ranadeb Chaudhuri, Zoran Ivkovich, Joshua Matthew Pollet, Charles Trzcinka :: SSRN

Robert Reich (Pragmatists, Ideologues, and Inequality in America)

Robert Reich (Pragmatists, Ideologues, and Inequality in America)

State House for Sale: Big businesses pay off in jobs, political contributions | Business | The State

State House for Sale: Big businesses pay off in jobs, political contributions | Business | The State

Monday, November 04, 2013

NYTimes: Innovation Imperative: Change Everything

From The New York Times:

Innovation Imperative: Change Everything

Online education is beginning to show itself as a disruptive innovation, introducing more convenient and affordable services that can transform sectors.


http://nyti.ms/HjkluW

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Why ACA Software Failed

Instructive comment

From the comments (Dan Hanson on ACA)

Bowlesonomics Versus Abenomics - NYTimes.com

Why regret is essential to the good life – Carina Chocano – Aeon

Why regret is essential to the good life – Carina Chocano – Aeon

Incredible Self Portraits by 14-Year-Old Photographer | DeMilked

Incredible Self Portraits by 14-Year-Old Photographer | DeMilked

Ross Douthat: Conservative Who's Scared of a Free Market in Health Care | Beat the Press

Ross Douthat: Conservative Who's Scared of a Free Market in Health Care | Beat the Press

Eugene Fama, King of Predictable Markets - NYTimes.com

Eugene Fama, King of Predictable Markets - NYTimes.com

Sharing Nobel Honors, and Agreeing to Disagree - NYTimes.com

Time to End the 'War on Terror' (For Real) - James Fallows - The Atlantic

Time to End the 'War on Terror' (For Real) - James Fallows - The Atlantic

Cash to the poor: Pennies from heaven | The Economist

Cash to the poor: Pennies from heaven | The Economist

Here's What Happens When Wall Street Builds A Rental Empire

Here's What Happens When Wall Street Builds A Rental Empire

Alan Greenspan | Why I Didn’t See The Financial Crisis Coming | Foreign Affairs

Alan Greenspan discovers behavioral finance.

Alan Greenspan | Why I Didn’t See The Financial Crisis Coming | Foreign Affairs

Why U.S. Troops Want to Stay in Afghanistan - WSJ.com


Waist deep in the Big Muddy.

Why U.S. Troops Want to Stay in Afghanistan - WSJ.com

Lunch with the FT: Muhammad Yunus - FT.com

Lunch with the FT: Muhammad Yunus - FT.com

Saturday, October 19, 2013

U.S. Army Hones Antiterror Strategy for Africa, in Kansas - NYTimes.com

Why can they not just stay home and rest? Why must they seek new missions?

"the United States military out of Iraq and pulling out of Afghanistan, the Army is looking for new missions around the world."


U.S. Army Hones Antiterror Strategy for Africa, in Kansas - NYTimes.com:

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

How the GOP Slowly Went Insane - Jon Lovett - The Atlantic

How the GOP Slowly Went Insane - Jon Lovett - The Atlantic

Samantha Power Takes on the Job of a Lifetime as Ambassador to the U.N. - Magazine

Samantha Power Takes on the Job of a Lifetime as Ambassador to the U.N. - Magazine

Stop Fretting: The Debt-Ceiling Crisis Is Over! -- Daily Intelligencer

Stop Fretting: The Debt-Ceiling Crisis Is Over! -- Daily Intelligencer

The Inefficiency of the Market Isn't an Open Question : The New Yorker

The Inefficiency of the Market Isn't an Open Question : The New Yorker

Review & Outlook: The Debt Denouement - WSJ.com

When you have lost the editorial page of the WSJ...

Review & Outlook: The Debt Denouement - WSJ.com

There's No Place Like Om: Meditative Spaces—WSJ Mansion - WSJ.com

There's No Place Like Om: Meditative Spaces—WSJ Mansion - WSJ.com

Hans Riegel, Marketer of Gummi Bears, Dies at 90 - NYTimes.com

Hans Riegel, Marketer of Gummi Bears, Dies at 90 - NYTimes.com

Saturday, October 12, 2013

How do we gain insights | Seeking Wisdom

How do we gain insights | Seeking Wisdom

Revisiting “Moneyball” with Paul DePodesta - Issue 4: The Unlikely - Nautilus

DePodesta was one of those who first brought statistical analysis to baseball. As Kuhn describes in the history of scientific revolutions, this was a change in the paradigm. Everyone had been doing scouting the same way before. After DePodesta, sports scouting methods have radically changed. It is interesting, fun and profitable to be part of an industry at that fluxuation point.  

Revisiting “Moneyball” with Paul DePodesta - Issue 4: The Unlikely - Nautilus

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Scott Carpenter, Mercury Astronaut Who Orbited Earth, Dies at 88 - NYTimes.com

Scott Carpenter, Mercury Astronaut Who Orbited Earth, Dies at 88 - NYTimes.com

Malala Yousafzai Left Jon Stewart Speechless - Business Insider

A must watch video.

Malala Yousafzai Left Jon Stewart Speechless - Business Insider

Five policies for effective teaching

Getting beneath the Veil of Effective Schools: Evidence from New York City:

" five policies suggested by qualitative research—frequent teacher feedback, the use of data to guide instruction, high-dosage tutoring, increased instructional time, and high expectations— explains approximately 45 percent of the variation in school effectiveness."

How to Break Through a Career Impasse - Herminia Ibarra - Harvard Business Review

How to Break Through a Career Impasse - Herminia Ibarra - Harvard Business Review

Yo-Yo Ma and the Mind Game of Music - NYTimes.com

Yo-Yo Ma and the Mind Game of Music - NYTimes.com

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Putting Obamacare's Launch in Perspective | National Review Online

Putting Obamacare's Launch in Perspective | National Review Online

Government Shutdown - The Reign Of Morons Is Here - Esquire

Government Shutdown - The Reign Of Morons Is Here - Esquire

President Obama on *Average is Over*

President Obama on *Average is Over*

Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures | owenzidar

Gerrymandering is inevitable and not some right wing conspiracy.

Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures | owenzidar

The Unofficial Dividend.com Guide To Being An Investor - Dividend.com

The Unofficial Dividend.com Guide To Being An Investor - Dividend.com

20 Things I Will Not Regret Doing With My Kids | Rachel M. Martin

20 Things I Will Not Regret Doing With My Kids | Rachel M. Martin

Two Marine Corps Generals Are Forced to Retire Over Fatal Security Breach - NYTimes.com

A rare case of taking responsibility.

Two Marine Corps Generals Are Forced to Retire Over Fatal Security Breach - NYTimes.com

Saturday, September 14, 2013

The Falling Man - Tom Junod - 9/11 Suicide Photograph - Esquire

The Falling Man - Tom Junod - 9/11 Suicide Photograph - Esquire

Stanford and Its Start-ups: With StartX, Has the University Gone Too Far? : The New Yorker

Stanford and Its Start-ups: With StartX, Has the University Gone Too Far? : The New Yorker

The 20 Smartest Things Jeff Bezos Has Ever Said (AMZN)

The 20 Smartest Things Jeff Bezos Has Ever Said (AMZN)

In Which I Interview an HFT and Ask Him Some Tough Questions

In Which I Interview an HFT and Ask Him Some Tough Questions

Brad DeLong : Kathy Ruffing: The Economist Gets It Wrong on Disability Insurance: Noted for September 14, 2013

Brad DeLong : Kathy Ruffing: The Economist Gets It Wrong on Disability Insurance: Noted for September 14, 2013

Issue 82: The Secret Life of Nuns :: Oxford American - The Southern Magazine of Good Writing

Issue 82: The Secret Life of Nuns :: Oxford American - The Southern Magazine of Good Writing

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Take down of ridiculous comparison of gov't and households


Putin talks sense


History of the financial Crisis

Good presentation by the Treasury

http://www.treasury.gov/connect/blog/Documents/FinancialCrisis5Yr_vFINAL.pdf

This Jon Stewart episode is everything wrong with how we talk about Syria

It is all about us.

This Jon Stewart episode is everything wrong with how we talk about Syria

Government Policy Gave Us Inequality, not the Market | Beat the Press

Government Policy Gave Us Inequality, not the Market | Beat the Press

Can the Government Actually Do Anything About Inequality? - NYTimes.com

Can the Government Actually Do Anything About Inequality? - NYTimes.com

5 Years Later, We've Learned Nothing From the Financial Crisis - James Kwak - The Atlantic

5 Years Later, We've Learned Nothing From the Financial Crisis - James Kwak - The Atlantic

License To Stagnate - NYTimes.com

License To Stagnate - NYTimes.com

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Monday, September 09, 2013

To a Chinese Scrap-Metal Hunter, America's Trash Is Treasure - Businessweek

To a Chinese Scrap-Metal Hunter, America's Trash Is Treasure - Businessweek

26 Market Wisdoms from Warren Buffett | StockTwits 50

26 Market Wisdoms from Warren Buffett | StockTwits 50

The Summers Dossier [feedly]


 
 
Shared via feedly // published on The American Prospect // visit site
The Summers Dossier

To: President Obama

From: Your Political Team

Re: Larry Summers Vetting Report

 

Dear Mr. President,

Welcome home. You have several immense challenges in the coming days and weeks, including of course marshaling support for the Syria attack, dealing with the next artificial budget crisis contrived by the Republicans, and continuing to move forward with implementation of the Affordable Care Act against fierce partisan opposition.

This memo on Larry Summers's confirmation as Federal Reserve Chairman is written with all that in mind.

The staff investigation of Summers in anticipation of a potentially bruising confirmation hearing is now complete, and you face a tricky decision. On the one hand, there is no single smoking gun that disqualifies him outright. With a lot of political heavy lifting, we might get Summers confirmed. On the other hand, it would eat up a lot of political capital and credibility at a time when we are seeking to rebuild both, not to incur political debts needlessly.

Here are Summers's main substantive and political problems in getting confirmed.

There is a great deal of criticism that he is temperamentally unsuited to be Fed chairman. This is in one sense "soft" criticism, but politically it is real and widely shared. Even his supporters concede that he can be a bull in a china shop.

His Wall Street activities since leaving government will raise more than eyebrows. They will raise questions of flat-out conflicts of interest and bad judgment.

Since leaving government, Summers took a lot of money from Citigroup. As one of the key architects of the bail out, he was responsible for the decision to prop up Citi with hundreds of billions of dollars of public money and Federal Reserve cheap capital rather than breaking Citi up. As Fed Chair, he will be a principal regulator of too-big-to-fail banks including Citi.

At the very least, this looks terrible. He saves Citi management and shareholders, then he gets a nice pile of money from them for not much work, and now he is regulating them again. This revolving door at the Fed is so unusual that it doesn't even have applicable conflict of rules for chairmen. It's not possible for the chair to recuse himself because every major regulatory decision—capital standards, derivatives, Volcker Rule—affects Citi. If he is precluded from participating, he might as well not take the job.

There is also Summers's odd choice to join the board of directors of Lending Club, a lightly regulated quasi-bank, of the sort that the Fed will need to decide whether to regulate more tightly. Summers critics will ask what he was thinking. With several of the same players, he also joined the board of Square, an internet-based payments system.

Further, there is a lot of dirty laundry left over from Summers's tenure at Harvard both as university president before he served the administration and also since he returned as a senior professor. Much of this has been aired, but it has never been systematically subjected to a senate inquiry.

Summers's questioning the intellectual capacity of women contributed to his downfall, but in many ways it was the least of his problems. Far more serious were his penchant for overruling the Harvard endowment's professional money managers with impulsive investment decisions that cost Harvard billions, and his involvement in the Andrei Shleifer affair.

The most authoritative article on Shleifer and Summers appeared in the magazine Institutional Investor. Shleifer in the mid-1990s, while running the technical assistance program on Russian privatization underwritten by USAID and administered through Harvard Institute for International Development, enriched himself through investments based on privileged information. Eventually, after a criminal investigation, Harvard and Schleifer, during Summers's tenure as president, settled the criminal complaint by paying heavy fines.

Summers, a close friend of Shleifer, nominally recused himself, but acted to protect his friend and even kept Shleifer on as a full professor. Harvard ended up paying over $26 million in fines plus $10 to $15 million in legal fees to defend the actions of a corrupt professor of whose activities senior officials at the university, except for Summers, were unaware. It was the Shleifer affair, as much as anything else, that cost Summers the confidence of his faculty and his job. The details have never been the subject of a congressional inquiry, and could be extremely embarrassing with Summers testifying under oath.

Summers is also vulnerable for his activities since 2010. Harvard has a strict rule requiring that fulltime faculty spend at least 80 percent of their professional time on Harvard business. With all of his extracurricular Wall Street affairs, there is no realistic way that Summers could have met this rule. Either Harvard bent its own rules, or the companies on whose boards Summers served were violating their legal duties by using Summers as a marquee name or paying him in the expectation of future IOUs, but not as a true fiduciary. This will also be awkward for him (and us) to explain.

In that respect, Summers is also likely to be charged with hypocrisy on the subject of senior faculty freelancing. In 2001, as Harvard president, he railed against then Harvard professor Cornell West for West's pop culture activities, specifically for making a hip-hop CD. Summers called West to his office in October 2001 to complain, arguing that this was the sort of extra-curricular activity that brought embarrassment to the university. Summers critics might argue that hip-hop was pretty tame compared to working part time for Citi and Lending Club. Summers eventually drove West out, an act that did not endear him to the African American community.

There are also the well known policy questions of Summers having promoted the deregulation that led to the financial collapse, having bullied Brooksley Born, former chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in the late 1990s, for wanting government to explore ways to limit derivatives abuses, and his rather soft views of regulation in the context of the Dodd-Frank Act rules.

Politically, our efforts to create a sense of inevitability for Summers over the past several weeks seemed to be working. But then, contrary to the White House story about an easy confirmation, three leading Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee, advised us that under no circumstances will they vote for Summers, and that was leaked to the press. See this piece from last Friday's Wall Street Journal.

The New York Times also weighed in with a blistering anti-Summers editorial.

Even if we hold all other Democrats on the Committee, that makes us reliant on the Republicans to get Summers out of committee. As you know, we have redoubled our efforts to get our Wall Street friends to lobby Republicans to support Summers.

Other things being equal, Republicans should be favorable to Summers because of his soft views on regulation and his concerns about inflation. But other things are not equal. Most Republicans do not like him personally. They will be torn between giving Wall Street a vote for a friendly Fed chairman and embarrassing the White House. If they smell blood in the water, we probably cannot count on their support.

It's not at all whether we would prevent a runaway hearing. We have Committee Chairman Tim Johnson's commitment to try to keep the lid on. Johnson has the back office operations of big banks in his home state of South Dakota thanks to their lax consumer laws and is one of the most Wall Street-friendly Democrats in Congress.

However, Johnson is not going to short circuit a hearing if he has several committee members pressing for a full investigation. That would make him look bad for trying to railroad the nomination through.

We don't yet know who will ask to testify. But the list could include several high powered and prestigious people, such as other senators, former regulators, and senior Harvard officials, both present and former—people who could not be dismissed lightly. The hearing might drag on for days. We withdrew Tom Daschle as our Health and Human Services nominee for a lot less. It would not paint a pretty picture.

To reiterate, despite numerous conversations, we can't know which way the Republicans will play this. In principle, there is no "linkage" between the Fed nomination and other pending battles. But in practice, you don't have very many IOUs to call in with the Republicans and you need to consider if it makes the most sense to spend your limited bipartisan political capital on Summers.

One of our strongest cases for Summers is that he will reassure financial markets. But a confirmation hearing that turned out to be a donnybrook would do just the opposite. By contrast, we have unearthed nothing on the other leading candidate, Janet Yellen. A confirmation hearing for Yellen would be decorous, and the main opposition would be from monetary conservatives.

This raises one final question. The economy is still a lot softer than your economic team forecast. The Fed has been making noises about pulling back on monetary stimulus in the next month or two, a policy that would slow down the recovery. Summers has been more favorably inclined towards a pullback, while Yellen has stressed the need for continued stimulus to create jobs. Though she is not as personally well known to you and our economic team as Summers is, Yellen might actually pursue economic policies more in the administration's political interest.




Mark O'Friel
C: 914-907-7144
O: 617-903-0251
F : 419-710-3449


Thursday, September 05, 2013

Tuesday, September 03, 2013

Sunday, September 01, 2013

How Search Works - The Story – Inside Search – Google

How Search Works - The Story – Inside Search – Google

Who Will Prosper in the New World - NYTimes.com

Who Will Prosper in the New World - NYTimes.com

Taiwan Landslide Boulder Video - Business Insider

Luck matters.

Taiwan Landslide Boulder Video - Business Insider

n 1: Raise the Crime Rate

n 1: Raise the Crime Rate

15 Biases That Make You Do Dumb Things With Your Money

15 Biases That Make You Do Dumb Things With Your Money

The Epicurean Dealmaker: To Whom It May Concern

The Epicurean Dealmaker: To Whom It May Concern

Analysis - Caterpillar Plan Illustrates Risk of Variable Pay Plans - NYTimes.com

Analysis - Caterpillar Plan Illustrates Risk of Variable Pay Plans - NYTimes.com:

CEO's exempt themselves from employee's incentive based employment plan:

 "But unlike many rank-and-file employees, Oberhelman also participates in a medium-term incentive plan, which pays out cash each year based on three-year performance measures, providing a cushion from annual fluctuations.

As a result, Oberhelman's total cash incentive pay rose 2 percent last year, and his overall compensation jumped 32 percent, according to SEC filings."