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Berkshire Letter

http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2014ltr.pdf

Leonard Nimoy: What I've Learned

"Just keep in mind, there's always room for one more good one."



Leonard Nimoy: What I've Learned

I Am Beginning to Think That the Backlash Against the Skills-Gap Story of Wage Inequality Has Gone Too Far...: Focus - Washington Center for Equitable Growth

I Am Beginning to Think That the Backlash Against the Skills-Gap Story of Wage Inequality Has Gone Too Far...: Focus - Washington Center for Equitable Growth:



The key things to avoid are:

Keeping people who won’t successfully complete college from enrolling and having an experience that they look back at as not worthwhile…
Keeping people who won’t successfully complete college from taking on enormous student loan debt in the process…
Keeping people who could successfully complete college from signing up for a very low-quality college–and we are looking at you, Washington Post, or Stanley Kaplan University Daily–as having played a large role in blocking action to minimize this problem…





And the key things to promote is:

Persuading people who will successfully complete a reasonable-quality college that their loan debt will be a very small burden on them, and that college is really a very good investment.
Figuring out better and cheaper ways to teach and verify what people learn in college.
Figuring out how to boost the human capital of people who will not successfully complete a reasonable-quality college.

Democrats are overplaying their hand on unions

Union decline is part of the story, but not all. Globalization, technology, shareholder rights and other causes matter too. But do not underplay the importance of the decline of negotiating power of the unions.



Democrats are overplaying their hand on unions

Battle to Retake Iraqi City Looms as Test of Obama’s ISIS Strategy - NYTimes.com

Battle to Retake Iraqi City Looms as Test of Obama’s ISIS Strategy - NYTimes.com:



US military wants a 25 to 1 manpower advantage to overcome this:



"While Mosul is overwhelmingly Sunni, the Iraqi attacking force is likely to be overwhelming Shiite, which may create friction"


John Kay - It's too risky to rely on financial risk models

Risk models do not work because they are bad at predicting probabilities.

Better to look at gross positions.



John Kay - It's too risky to rely on financial risk models

Doctors Strive to Do Less Harm by Inattentive Care - NYTimes.com

Doctors Strive to Do Less Harm by Inattentive Care - NYTimes.com:



My big question. Why do not hospitals let you sleep?



Maybe, Dr. Bennick thought, what is really being asked is: Can you get a good night’s sleep without interruption? Is it really necessary to wake patients again and again to take blood pressure and pulse rates, to draw blood, to give medications?

Pro-Iran militias’ success in Iraq could undermine U.S. - The Washington Post

Pro-Iran militias’ success in Iraq could undermine U.S. - The Washington Post



“We don’t need them, either on the ground or in the air,” said Karim al-Nouri, spokesman and military commander for the Badr Organization, which has emerged as the most powerful of the armed groups. “We can defeat the Islamic State on our own.”

Saturday, February 14, 2015

Yahoo’s Alibaba spinoff attracts big discount

Yahoo’s Alibaba spinoff attracts big discount:



 It’s to be expected that SpinCo will trade at a discount. For one thing, it will represent only an indirect interest in Alibaba. For another, the new vehicle will still face a tax bill if it ever sells shares in the Chinese firm, so that exposure is only deferred. And of course the spinoff hasn’t happened yet.

Health Spending: Individual vs. Aggregate | askblog



"we know that as individuals we want unlimited access without having to pay for services. You could easily have an improvement in health care policy that is experienced negatively by individuals."





Health Spending: Individual vs. Aggregate | askblog

Sunday, February 08, 2015

Buffett wisdom that you may not have heard before — Millennial Invest

"If you lose money, that’s something which is easy to earn back. But if you lose reputation, it is extremely difficult to earn that back. Act in a way such that if your actions were published in the local newspaper you would not be ashamed of your neighbors and friends reading that story. Play in the center of the field. I am old and cannot see the boundaries at the edge, don’t venture there”









Buffett wisdom that you may not have heard before — Millennial Invest:

BPS Research Digest: Art affects you more powerfully when you view it in a museum

Obvious after visits to Museo Reina Sofia in Madrid to see Picasso's Guernica and to Accademia in Florence to see David.



True for MOOCs as well.



BPS Research Digest: Art affects you more powerfully when you view it in a museum

Thursday, February 05, 2015

Uber’s Business Model Could Change Your Work - NYTimes.com

The business model is still arbitrage. Find a regulated industry, break all the rules and hope that the law does not shut you down.



Uber’s Business Model Could Change Your Work - NYTimes.com

Wilson Saw a Window to Victory, But Butler Stole the Show - NYTimes.com

Great use of graphics to understand the Super Bowl final play. Not a bad call. The receiver was wide open but the corner back read the offense and made a spectacular catch.







Wilson Saw a Window to Victory, But Butler Stole the Show - NYTimes.com