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Saturday, May 29, 2010

There Was 'Nobody in Charge'


Flawed social interactions among the various organizations on the rig was a cause of the disaster.

There Was 'Nobody in Charge' - WSJ.com

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Commander Cites Progress and Frustration in Afghanistan

The U.S. military with 100,000 troops in Afghanistan cannot hold a province of 600,000 people against 1,000 insurgents.


Commander Cites Progress and Frustration in Afghanistan - At War Blog - NYTimes.com

Structural Unemployment and Technology | Angry Bear

Is unemployment structural due to increases in technology?
If so you have to believe that things really are "different this time".


Structural Unemployment and Technology | Angry Bear

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

The Gulf Deepwater Oil Spill - the Top Kill Attempt

Good graphics on the complex work of trying to control an oil spill. There was not adequate preparation for anything of this scale.

The Oil Drum | The Gulf Deepwater Oil Spill - the Top Kill Attempt

Monday, May 24, 2010

Japan economic performance is better than advertised

If you look at GDP per working age adult, the growth rate of Japan is in top tier of developed nations.


Super-Economy: Japan's problem is supply, not demand

Sunday, May 23, 2010

Thursday, May 20, 2010

The problem with Libertarianism

Rand Paul is No Barry Goldwater on Civil Rights | Capital Gains and Games: "n short, the libertarian philosophy of Rand Paul and the Supreme Court of the 1880s and 1890s gave us almost 100 years of segregation, white supremacy, lynchings, chain gangs, the KKK, and discrimination of African Americans for no other reason except their skin color. The gains made by the former slaves in the years after the Civil War were completely reversed once the Supreme Court effectively prevented the federal government from protecting them. Thus we have a perfect test of the libertarian philosophy and an indisputable conclusion: it didn't work. Freedom did not lead to a decline in racism; it only got worse."

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Preliminary Findings Regarding the Market Events of May 6, 2010

Joint Report of SEC and CFTC explains the causes and proposed remedies of "flash crash" of May 6. Good reading.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Garnett on loyaty

Garnett stands tall after sitting - The Boston Globe: "“Loyalty is something that hurts you at times, because you can’t get youth back. I can honestly say that if I could go back and do my situation ... over, and knowing what I know ..., I’d have done it sooner."

Friday, May 14, 2010

Tyler Cowen

One of my favorite bloggers.

Tyler Cowen's appetite for ethnic food -- and answers about his life: "all stories follow seven templates: 'monster, rags to riches, quest, voyage and return, comedy, tragedy and rebirth."

Monday, May 10, 2010

An Analysis of the Thursday Meltdown � naked capitalism

An Analysis of the Thursday Meltdown � naked capitalism: "It boils down to this: this episode exposed structural flaws in how a trade is implemented (think orphaned algo orders) and it exposed the danger of leaving market making up to a network of entities with no mandate to ensure the smooth and orderly functioning of the market (think of the electronic market makers and high freqs who can pull bids instantaneously as opposed to a specialist on the floor who has a clearly defined mandate to provide liquidity)."

Sunday, May 09, 2010

Gulf Coast oil spill map

This application compares the sizeof the spill to anywhere you place it.

Gulf Coast oil spill map

Saturday, May 08, 2010

“A Process That Only We Fully Understand” � The Baseline Scenario

The hubris that was Alan Greenspan.
This is prime reason that the Fed needs an audit.


“A Process That Only We Fully Understand” � The Baseline Scenario: "“We run the risk, by laying out the pros and cons of a particular argument, of inducing people to join in on the debate, and in this regard it is possible to lose control of a process that only we fully understand.”"

Tuesday, May 04, 2010

Glen Beck moment of Sanity

A Renewed Debate Over Suspect Rights - NYTimes.com: "“He’s a citizen of the United States, so I say we uphold the laws and the Constitution on citizens,” Mr. Beck said. “He has all the rights under the Constitution. We don’t shred the Constitution when it’s popular. We do the right thing.”"

Fix the Rating Agencies


The primary cause of the crash was poor underwriting.
How much of this can be fixed by tinkering with the rating agencies? It is really a business issue that must be addressed firm by firm.

Alford: Fix the Rating Agencies By Making Them Less Essential � naked capitalism

Incentives, Complexity, and the Blame Game

Use of illiquid assets increased risk while seemed to dampen it.


Incentives, Complexity, and the Blame Game � naked capitalism: "And too much risk is a no-no too, but the measurement of risk was volatility of returns. So what did we see in the crisis just past? A rise in popularity of strategies that used illiquid assets….which were therefore marked to model…which therefore did not show much (any) price volatility until their credit quality decayed."